After reading Nate Silver's prediction that rightwingers attempts to overturn Maine's same-sex marriage law would likely fail, I found this list by state of the last year voters would pass a marriage amendment. Nate says that by 2015 Indiana voters wouldn't pass a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage.

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Nate's prediction is based on two major factors: The number of white evangelicals in the state and the percentage of adults that say religion is an important part of their daily lives.

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